Deutsche Bank has reaffirmed its Buy rating and $53 price target for The Carlyle Group LP after meetings with the company's CFO and Head of Investor Relations. The bank expressed confidence in Carlyle's ability to enhance its fee-related earnings (FRE) growth, a key indicator of predictable earnings in asset management.
Carlyle's leadership, including CFO John Redett and Head of Investor Relations Daniel Harris, engaged in discussions that bolstered Deutsche Bank's positive outlook. Despite maintaining its investment rating, Deutsche Bank has not changed its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Carlyle, highlighting the firm's potential stock performance relative to peers.
Carlyle is recognized as a top value pick within Deutsche Bank's coverage, reflecting a strong endorsement of its stock amid current market conditions. Investors may view this sustained confidence as a sign of Carlyle's strategic direction and financial health.
In addition to its stock performance, Carlyle has made significant advancements in the clean energy real estate finance sector, committing up to $1 billion for commercial property assessed clean energy (C-PACE) loans in partnership with North Bridge ESG LLC. This move underscores Carlyle's growing presence in environmentally focused finance.
Recent analyst notes have also been favorable. Redburn-Atlantic initiated coverage with a Buy rating, citing growth in Carlyle's Credit business and strategic changes under the new CEO. Conversely, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating but slightly raised its price target from $41 to $42 following Carlyle's second-quarter results.
Carlyle reported record assets under management (AUM) of $435 billion and strong fee-related earnings, with optimism for increased exit activity in the latter half of the year. The company is closely monitored by financial institutions and analysts, reflecting its significant role in the investment landscape.
Carlyle's financial metrics support Deutsche Bank's bullish outlook. The firm has a market capitalization of $16.38 billion and a price-to-book ratio of 3.24, indicating it trades at a discount compared to peers. Notably, Carlyle's quarterly revenue surged by 169.42% as of Q2 2024, enhancing confidence in its future earnings growth.
Carlyle's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past year, with a total return of 55.67%. This performance may contribute to Deutsche Bank's maintained Buy rating, suggesting a favorable risk/reward scenario for investors.